Tuesday, 6 January 2015

Two-thirds of cancers - collected links

News sites getting the meaning of "two thirds of cases" wrong: Independent ,Telegraph, Mail, Express, Mirror, Huffington Post
News site getting it wrong in the headline but right in the text without one having to scroll down: Reuters.
News sites getting it right: BBC, Guardian.

The press release.


The Science abstract, with paywalled link to the paper
Free preview of the paper
Supplement on the data and methodology


Long critical review of the paper and its reporting: David Gorski
Discussion of the reporting: Andrew Maynard, Science-Presse (in French)
Criticism of the interpretation of correlation: Guardian, statsguy, Antonio Rinaldi (in Italian), with his own model, me, with a toy model
Criticism of the correlation calculation: StatsChat
Criticism of the clustering methodology: Understanding Uncertainty (with discussion of the reporting), statsguy, me, with discussion of the methodology generally
Criticism of the message: Cancer Research UK (with discussion of the reporting and the paper)
Expressing doubts about the accuracy of the data: Paul Knoepfler

A few comments on the paper: Science

Support for the paper: Steven Novella
Support for the message: PZ Myers, expressing disdain for those reluctant to accept the role of random chance

1 comment:

  1. Of all the reviews I've read, yours is the most cogent. The conclusion I draw from the paper is that (assuming the data is correct, outliers don't throw things off, etc.) the non-luck part played in cancer is roughly uniform across types. Alas, the paper infers that a function is constant and yet claims that it is zero. Some people seem to have a hard time distinguishing a function from its derivative...